Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2065.007854 2249.555964 2437.777052 2643.817570 2862.728626 3088.083800 3337.316294
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1756.943557 2026.981774 2313.976909 2640.578882 3000.802171 3384.845274 3824.087612
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1541.632890 1857.942027 2204.682241 2610.692001 3070.700905 3573.380689 4161.823349
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1411.193439 1763.940675 2160.657117 2636.087362 3186.461898 3799.699558 4530.642118
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1290.627528 1668.071843 2102.553194 2634.160558 3261.360180 3972.140770 4832.632936
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1217.426825 1620.438531 2093.869204 2683.585833 3390.679087 4203.518736 5200.421955
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1119.357764 1534.788466 2032.835592 2664.289074 3433.493704 4330.046258 5443.414032
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1071.995931 1507.800823 2039.416749 2723.563887 3568.033203 4563.640505 5812.742581
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1010.069229 1457.860144 2013.716727 2739.770612 3647.720937 4730.233045 6101.957447
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 948.226313 1403.930749 1979.378189 2741.943912 3707.582835 4871.256797 6359.817066
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 855.398992 1303.646393 1880.700546 2657.792068 3655.543223 4872.090839 6444.361561
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 839.244656 1305.277300 1913.361401 2741.397419 3814.703064 5133.863056 6850.655286
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 808.202874 1285.622364 1917.879876 2789.364861 3930.694955 5345.599498 7200.807823
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 759.778737 1239.155029 1884.477318 2785.863924 3979.622242 5473.321414 7447.589107
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 705.352254 1181.002742 1832.350159 2754.744207 3990.419570 5551.269347 7631.109316
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 674.946345 1155.814509 1823.963041 2781.188238 4075.905868 5724.268001 7935.534584
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 637.339318 1117.867064 1795.902966 2779.181958 4122.514617 5846.776201 8175.941992
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 619.345046 1108.276530 1807.058576 2830.641394 4240.549181 6062.333928 8537.109452
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 580.635114 1064.936259 1768.030383 2810.551572 4260.818307 6149.757451 8733.050081
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 568.630771 1062.307873 1787.406979 2872.257976 4392.389313 6383.874626 9120.726451
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 544.528413 1039.275627 1775.786964 2889.127235 4462.132692 6536.543791 9403.138039
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 517.871654 1010.720651 1754.722347 2891.389306 4511.007948 6661.314459 9649.482043
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 469.327425 943.765085 1673.388629 2803.787229 4432.409740 6613.679440 9666.941061